A ridge of high pressure, averaging 30.50 inches, will move east across Lake Erie through Monday night before exiting eastward. This high-pressure system will bring a period of relatively calm weather to the region. Following the ridge, a cold front will sweep across the lake on Tuesday, setting the stage for a low-pressure system approaching from the south on Wednesday. This low-pressure system, initially at 30.00 inches, will deepen to 29.60 inches as it tracks north across the eastern Great Lakes on Thursday. By Friday, high pressure will return, building east across the Great Lakes with a reading of 30.60 inches. This pattern indicates a fluctuating weather week ahead for the Lake Erie region.
Across various sections of Lake Erie, from Detroit River to Maumee Bay and beyond, west winds will prevail at 5 to 10 knots tonight, with the lake surface predominantly ice-covered. Southwest winds are expected for Monday, shifting to west later in the day.
Monday night will see southwest winds lessening to under 10 knots. Tuesday will experience light and variable winds initially, transitioning to north winds at 5 to 10 knots. Tuesday night, northeast winds will strengthen to 10-15 knots.
Wednesday’s forecast includes northeast winds holding at 10-15 knots, shifting to north later. Snow is possible during the day, becoming more likely Wednesday night. Thursday will bring northwest winds at 10-15 knots, turning west later in the day. Friday’s forecast indicates west winds at 5-10 knots, becoming southeast later, with a chance of snow Friday night.
From the Islands to Vermilion and beyond, similar conditions prevail, with west winds at 5-10 knots tonight and the lake largely ice-covered. Monday will see southwest winds initially at or below 10 knots, increasing to 10-15 knots and shifting west later. Monday night will have southwest winds at 10 knots or less, turning south.
Tuesday’s winds will be south at 10 knots or less, shifting north. Northeast winds will range from 5-15 knots Tuesday night. Wednesday will experience stronger northeast winds at 15-20 knots, with a chance of snow during the day and snow and freezing rain Wednesday night. Thursday will have northwest winds at 15-20 knots, decreasing to 10-15 knots and shifting west. Friday will see west winds at 5-15 knots, becoming southeast, with a chance of snow Friday night. The consistent ice cover across the lake has led to the omission of wave height forecasts.
Extending from Ripley to Buffalo, New York, and along the Ohio shoreline from Willowick to Conneaut, conditions mirror those of other Lake Erie areas. Tonight, west winds will be 5-10 knots with a slight chance of snow showers late this evening, and the lake mostly ice-covered. Monday will have west winds at 5-15 knots, turning southwest. Monday night will see southwest winds at 5-15 knots, becoming south.
Tuesday will experience south winds at 5-10 knots, shifting northwest. Tuesday night, north winds will increase from 5-15 knots and become northeast. Wednesday will have strong northeast winds at 15-20 knots, with a chance of snow during the day and a likelihood of snow and freezing rain Wednesday night. Thursday’s forecast includes northwest winds at 15-20 knots, decreasing to 10-15 knots and becoming west. Friday’s prediction shows west winds at 5-15 knots, shifting southeast, and a chance of snow Friday night. The pervasive ice cover across the lake has resulted in the omission of wave forecasts. While current conditions are icy, fluctuating temperatures and approaching weather systems could impact future ice conditions.